Airline Services (ATSG) Third Quarter Profits and Revenue Surpass Estimates

Air Transport Services (ATSG) reported quarterly profit of $ 0.60 per share, beating Zacks’ consensus estimate of $ 0.46 per share. This compares to a profit of $ 0.44 per share a year ago. These figures are corrected for non-recurring items.

This quarterly report represents a surprise earnings of 30.43%. A quarter ago, this air freight company was expected to post a profit of $ 0.26 per share when it actually made a profit of $ 0.35, offering a surprise of 34, 62%.

In the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times.

Air Transport Services, which is part of the Zacks Transportation – Air Freight and Cargo business, reported revenue of $ 465.96 million for the quarter ended September 2021, beating Zacks’ consensus estimate by 8.45%. This compares to last year’s revenue of $ 404.15 million. The company has exceeded consensus revenue estimates twice in the past four quarters.

The sustainability of the immediate stock price movement based on recently released numbers and future earnings expectations will primarily depend on management feedback on the profit call.

Air Transport Services shares have lost around 16.4% year-to-date against a gain of 24.1% for the S&P 500.

What’s the next step for air transport services?

While Air Transport Services has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors’ minds is: what’s next for the stock?

There are no easy answers to this key question, but a reliable metric that can help investors solve this problem is the company’s earnings outlook. This includes not only the current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter (s), but also how those expectations have changed in recent times.

Empirical research shows a strong correlation between short-term stock market movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can follow these revisions on their own or rely on a proven scoring tool like Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.

Prior to this release of the results, the trend in revised estimates for air transport services was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions may change as a result of the company’s just released earnings report, the current status results in a Zacks Rank # 3 (Hold) for the stock. Thus, stocks are expected to move in line with the market in the near future. You can see the full list of Zacks # 1 Rank (Fort Buy) stocks today here.

It will be interesting to see how the estimates for the next quarters and the current year evolve in the days to come. The current consensus estimate of EPS is $ 0.57 out of $ 462.65 million in revenue for the coming quarter and $ 1.63 out of $ 1.68 billion in revenue for the current year.

Investors should be aware that the outlook for the sector can also have a significant impact on the performance of the stock. In terms of Zacks industry rankings, Transportation – Air Freight and Freight is currently in the lowest 13% of Zacks’ 250+ industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of industries ranked by Zacks outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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